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Applications of Artificial Networks in Emerging Financial Markets

机译:人工网络在新兴金融市场中的应用

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This paper addresses the application of Artifiical Neural Netwokrs (ANNs) in the emerging Stock Exchange of Greece in comparison with the developed Geman market. An collection of univariate and multivariate ANN's that implement two variations of the back-propagation algorithm are utilised to construct a trading system. The parametwrs, profitability and risk of the trading systems are determined by applying various methods including worst-case Drawdown and Probability of Ruin Anlaysis. The empirical evidence induicate that the performance of the ANN rtrading systems is sginificantly above random chance and that of other investment ttrategies and that this performance can vary according to shifts in volatility and major international events. The emerging Stock Market of Greece is found to present greater potentials for the succesful implementation of ANN's, when compared to the mature German stock market.
机译:与发达的Geman市场相比,本文论述了人工神经网络(ANN)在希腊新兴证券交易所中的应用。实现反向传播算法的两种变体的单变量和多变量ANN的集合被用来构建交易系统。交易系统的参数,获利能力和风险是通过应用各种方法来确定的,包括最坏情况的提款和破产概率。经验证据表明,人工神经网络交易系统的表现明显高于随机机会和其他投资策略的表现,并且该表现可能会根据波动率和重大国际事件的变化而变化。与成熟的德国股票市场相比,希腊新兴的股票市场具有成功实施ANN的更大潜力。

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